Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1017
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
DL 1017 · ATL → BHM
departs 11:15 AM ET · arrives 11:10 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 8%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 31%
Mon 10/5 9%
Tue 10/6 5%
Wed 10/7 6%
Thu 10/8 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at BHM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BHM?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at BHM that day
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
BHM usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.12 in
BHM (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.