Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1017
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
DL 1017 · ATL → BHM
departs 11:15 AM ET · arrives 11:10 AM CT
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 10%
Tue 10/6 5%
Wed 10/7 6%
Thu 10/8 6%
Fri 10/9 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±4 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at BHM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BHM?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at BHM that day
↑
Other factors
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into BHM at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.38 in
BHM (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.44 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.