Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1053 LANDED 9:17 AM PT, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

DL 1053 · SEA → SFO

took off 7:33 AM PT · landed 9:17 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1053 · SEA → SFO

Odds over time