Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1053
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
DL 1053 · SEA → SFO
departs 7:29 AM PT · arrives 9:34 AM PT
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Sun 10/4 24%
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 18%
Thu 10/8 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Visibility down to 0.9 mi forecast at SFO that day
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 0.9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.