Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1242
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
DL 1242 · AUS → MSP
departs 6:10 AM CT · arrives 9:00 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 4%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 5%
Mon 10/5 5%
Tue 10/6 8%
Wed 10/7 3%
Thu 10/8 3%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.4d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.13 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.