Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1275
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
DL 1275 · TPA → RDU
departs 8:59 PM ET · arrives 10:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 38%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±4 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at RDU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to RDU?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at TPA
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at RDU that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.23 in
RDU (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.