Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1319
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
DL 1319 · RDU → MCO
departs 5:03 PM ET · arrives 7:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 15h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 31%
Mon 10/5 28%
Thu 10/8 20%
Fri 10/9 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±6 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at RDU that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
RDU (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.17 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.