Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1319
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
DL 1319 · RDU → MCO
departs 5:03 PM ET · arrives 7:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 24%
Thu 10/8 20%
Fri 10/9 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±4 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at RDU that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
5pm departures from RDU are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
RDU usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
RDU (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.50 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.