Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1386
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 1386 · ATL → MIA
departs 2:30 PM ET · arrives 4:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 65%
Fri 10/2 26%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 18%
Wed 10/7 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±1 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.17 in
MIA (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.