Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1430
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 1430 · CLT → DTW
departs 5:02 PM ET · arrives 6:52 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Fri 10/2 25%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±2 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at CLT that day
↑
5pm departures from CLT are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.41 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.