DL 1442 · MSP → LAS

departs 9:41 PM CT · arrives 11:06 PM PT

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ 9pm departures from MSP are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

LAS (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1442 · MSP → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?