Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1516 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

DL 1516 · IAH → MSP

departs 8:15 AM CT · arrives 10:28 AM CT

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at MSP that day

↑ IAH is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

MSP (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1516 · IAH → MSP

Odds over time