Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1531
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
DL 1531 · ATL → ABQ
departs 8:47 PM ET · arrives 10:02 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 23%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 39%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 18%
Wed 10/7 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at ABQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ABQ?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at ATL that day
↑
8pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.2 mi Precip 0.05 in
ABQ (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.