Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1531
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
DL 1531 · ATL → ABQ
departs 8:47 PM ET · arrives 10:02 PM MT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 18%
Wed 10/7 13%
Fri 10/9 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±8 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at ABQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ABQ?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
8pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.43 in
ABQ (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.