Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1602
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
DL 1602 · MSP → FCA
departs 6:15 PM CT · arrives 8:17 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 19%
Tue 10/6 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at FCA more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at FCA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to FCA?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from MSP are often late
↑
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at MSP that day
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
FCA (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.