Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1742
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 1742 · MCO → ATL
departs 6:52 PM ET · arrives 8:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Fri 10/2 41%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±6 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
6pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.19 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.