Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1742
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
DL 1742 · MCO → ATL
departs 6:52 PM ET · arrives 8:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Sun 10/4 50%
Mon 10/5
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 14%
Thu 10/8 17%
Fri 10/9 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±10 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
6pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 4,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.44 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.40 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.