Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2005
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
DL 2005 · TVC → MSP
departs 1:38 PM ET · arrives 2:08 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave TVC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
↑
1pm departures from TVC are often late
↑
This flight has been late 19% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TVC
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
TVC (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 9.2 mi Precip 0.02 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 7,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.