Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2044
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
DL 2044 · HPN → ATL
departs 12:54 PM ET · arrives 3:16 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3
Today 30%
Mon 10/5 20%
Fri 10/9 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave HPN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
HPN is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi forecast at ATL that day
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HPN
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HPN (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 0.22 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.