DL 2181 · MSP → AVL

took off 9:07 AM CT · landed 11:51 AM ET (scheduled 9:04 AM CT → 12:24 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to AVL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↑ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at MSP that day

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

AVL (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2181 · MSP → AVL

Odds over time

How late did it get to AVL?