Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2260
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 2260 · AUS → LAS
departs 3:29 PM CT · arrives 4:20 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Fri 10/2 33%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 23%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
3pm departures from AUS are often late
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.29 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.