Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2344
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 2344 · MIA → AUS
departs 7:05 PM ET · arrives 9:13 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 73%
Fri 10/2 35%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 21%
Wed 10/7 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
7pm departures from MIA are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.41 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.