Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2392
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 2392 · JAX → MSP
departs 5:44 PM ET · arrives 7:54 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Fri 10/2 21%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at JAX that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
5pm departures from JAX are often late
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
JAX (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.68 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 4,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.