Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2400
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
DL 2400 · RSW → MSP
departs 2:32 PM ET · arrives 5:04 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 29%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 15%
Thu 10/8 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day
↑
Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
RSW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 6,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.30 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 25 kt
Ceiling 9,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.