Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2438
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
DL 2438 · ATL → SRQ
departs 12:29 PM ET · arrives 2:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3
Today 28%
Mon 10/5 11%
Fri 10/9 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±0 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at SRQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SRQ?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at SRQ that day
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi forecast at ATL that day
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
SRQ usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 0.22 in
SRQ (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.