Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2462
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 2462 · VPS → MSP
departs 2:18 PM CT · arrives 5:12 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Thu 10/1 15%
Fri 10/2 14%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 15%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at VPS that day
↑
This flight has been late 23% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late
↓
VPS usually runs smoothly
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
VPS (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.48 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 4,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.