Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2494
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 2494 · ATL → ECP
departs 6:40 PM ET · arrives 6:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 71h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Thu 10/1 16%
Fri 10/2 24%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 15%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at ECP more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±6 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ECP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at ECP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ECP?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at ECP that day
↑
6pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.30 in
ECP (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.80 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.