Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2695
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 2695 · MSP → MSY
departs 12:45 PM CT · arrives 3:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Thu 10/1 14%
Fri 10/2 12%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 15%
Mon 10/5 12%
Tue 10/6 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±4 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at MSY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSY?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MSY that day
↑
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MSY (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.46 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.