Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2778
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
DL 2778 · ATL → MEM
departs 12:15 PM ET · arrives 12:32 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 19h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 8%
Thu 10/8 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±0 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at MEM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MEM?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at MEM that day
↑
Other factors
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at ATL that day
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.12 in
MEM (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.