Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2778
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
DL 2778 · ATL → MEM
departs 12:15 PM ET · arrives 12:32 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 8%
Thu 10/8 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±2 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at MEM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MEM?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.0 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at MEM that day
↑
Other factors
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into MEM at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.96 in
MEM (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.24 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.