Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2840
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
DL 2840 · PVD → ATL
departs 8:41 AM ET · arrives 11:15 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Sat 10/3
Mon 10/5 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.4d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave PVD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
PVD is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at ATL that day
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
8am departures from PVD are usually not late
Weather at each end
PVD (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.