Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2840
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
DL 2840 · PVD → ATL
departs 8:41 AM ET · arrives 11:15 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Sat 10/3 11%
Mon 10/5
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave PVD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.0 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi forecast at PVD that day
↑
PVD is prone to delays
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
PVD (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.6 mi Precip 0.10 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.99 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.