Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3011
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 3011 · ATL → SAV
departs 8:15 AM ET · arrives 9:16 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Thu 10/1 6%
Fri 10/2 6%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 6%
Mon 10/5 6%
Tue 10/6 4%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAV more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at SAV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAV?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at ATL that day
↑
Other factors
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAV
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Arrivals into SAV at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip 0.10 in
SAV (destination)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 1,800 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.