Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3011
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
DL 3011 · ATL → SAV
departs 8:15 AM ET · arrives 9:16 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 8%
Sat 10/3 14%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5
Tue 10/6 5%
Wed 10/7 5%
Thu 10/8 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAV more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±3 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at SAV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SAV?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at SAV that day
↑
Other factors
↓
Arrivals into SAV at that hour are usually not late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.95 in
SAV (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.