DL 3151 · ATL → JAN

took off 11:42 AM ET · landed 11:33 AM CT (scheduled 11:27 AM ET → 11:52 AM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at JAN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to JAN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↑ 11am departures from ATL are often late

↓ JAN usually runs smoothly

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.22 in

JAN (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 3151 · ATL → JAN

Odds over time

How late did it get to JAN?