Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3166 LANDED 6:56 AM CT, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

DL 3166 · MSN → MSP

took off 6:12 AM CT · landed 6:56 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at MSP that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSN

Weather at each end

MSN (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

MSP (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 3166 · MSN → MSP

Odds over time