Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3196
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
DL 3196 · SRQ → ATL
departs 11:00 AM ET · arrives 12:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 7%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 5%
Tue 10/6 4%
Wed 10/7 5%
Thu 10/8 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±3 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SRQ that day
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at ATL that day
↑
SRQ is prone to delays
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
This flight has been late 9% of the time recently
Weather at each end
SRQ (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.41 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.