DL 47 · AMS → JFK

took off 10:32 AM CEST · landed 12:18 PM ET (scheduled 10:16 AM CEST → 12:30 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 18h after departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to JFK?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at AMS

↑ This route's recent record

↑ AMS is busy at that time

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

Weather at each end

AMS (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

JFK (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 47 · AMS → JFK

Odds over time

How late did it get to JFK?