tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 506 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

DL 506 · SEA → MIA

departs 8:09 AM PT · arrives 5:16 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 63h before departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
25% chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 4.5d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    74%
  2. 15–30 min late
    16%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.