Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 872 LANDED 4:26 PM PT, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

DL 872 · MSY → LAX

took off 2:53 PM CT · landed 4:26 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 667 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 4.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MSY that day

↑ 2pm departures from MSY are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip1.90 in

LAX (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 872 · MSY → LAX

Odds over time