Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 8863 LANDED 10:06 AM CT, ~3 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

DL 8863 · MSP → GRB

took off 9:26 AM CT · landed 10:06 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at GRB more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into GRB at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

GRB (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 8863 · MSP → GRB

Odds over time