Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 926 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3

DL 926 · ATL → DCA

departs 7:25 AM ET · arrives 9:16 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 40h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↑ This flight has been late 15% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from ATL are usually not late

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling3,800 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.43 in

DCA (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.19 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 926 · ATL → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?