DL 9874 · CLE → MSP

took off 12:12 AM ET · landed 12:52 AM CT (scheduled 12:00 AM ET → 1:08 AM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 22h after departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MSP?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at MSP that day

↑ Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE

Weather at each end

CLE (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 9874 · CLE → MSP

Odds over time

How late did it get to MSP?