Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1003
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
F9 1003 · PHL → ATL
departs 4:30 PM ET · arrives 7:02 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3
Today 78%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
4.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 49% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↑
4pm departures from PHL are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 0.22 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.