Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1292
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
F9 1292 · DEN → MSP
departs 6:11 PM MT · arrives 9:17 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 29%
Tue 10/6 21%
Wed 10/7 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±3 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MSP (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.