Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1425
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
F9 1425 · DFW → SAN
departs 5:56 PM CT · arrives 7:01 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 50%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 50%
Mon 10/5 38%
Tue 10/6 31%
Wed 10/7 31%
Thu 10/8 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±5 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
5pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.52 in
SAN (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.