Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1425
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
F9 1425 · DFW → SAN
departs 5:56 PM CT · arrives 7:01 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 51%
Sat 10/3 48%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 38%
Tue 10/6 31%
Wed 10/7 31%
Thu 10/8 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed – in 24h
–
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
5pm departures from DFW are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.08 in
SAN (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.