Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1446
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
F9 1446 · MCO → CLT
departs 9:38 AM ET · arrives 11:29 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at CLT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
MCO is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at CLT that day
↓
Arrivals into CLT at that hour are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.18 in
CLT (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.74 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.