Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1824 LANDED 6:39 PM AT, ~34 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

F9 1824 · MCO → SJU

took off 4:12 PM ET · landed 6:39 PM AT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ 3pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, thunderstorms forecast at SJU that day

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts36 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

SJU (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 1824 · MCO → SJU

Odds over time