Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1954
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
F9 1954 · MCO → BQN
departs 11:17 PM ET · arrives 2:10 AM AT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 23%
Mon 10/5 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at BQN more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.1d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BQN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at BQN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BQN?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.14 in
BQN (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.